Bitcoin’s abrupt drop to $80,000 shocked traders, but back-tested data on 105 indicators suggests the market washout is preparing BTC for a longer-term rally to new highs. Bitcoin (BTC) fell to $80,600 on Friday, extending weekly losses to more than 10%. Its monthly drawdown has now reached 23%, the steepest decline since June 2022. The drop below $84,000 also pushed BTC to test the 100-week exponential moving average for the first time since October 2023, aligning exactly with the start of the current bull cycle. Bitcoin futures liquidations surpassed $1 billion, underscoring the severity of this downturn, described by the Kobeissi Letter as the “fastest bear market ever.” Key takeaways: Read more
Japan’s stimulus package has shaken global markets, including Bitcoin, while the UK cracks down on Russian money laundering and sanctions evasion with crypto. On Friday, the Japanese government approved a $135-billion (21.3 trillion Japanese yen) stimulus package, mainly aimed at price relief and subsidizing gas and household electricity bills. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and her cabinet believe the plan will dampen inflation by 0.7 percentage points on average from February to April. But markets, including crypto markets, are concerned. The yen has significantly weakened against the US dollar, hitting 10-month lows; Japanese government 10-year bond yields reached 1.84% on Thursday, the highest level since the 2008 financial crisis. Major government spending like this stimulus package is likely to lead to the issuance of more bonds, further weakening the yen, which would prompt the Bank of Japan to intervene with rate hikes. That could trigger mass sell-offs in the US. Read more
With short-term holders driving Bitcoin’s sell-off, realized losses are hitting historic levels, leaving investors to wonder where the bottom might be. Bitcoin has taken a slide back to its April level of around $83,000, with mounting selling pressure prompting many investors to sell at a loss, reminiscent of major historic market crashes. Realized losses on Bitcoin (BTC) have surged to levels not seen since the 2022 FTX collapse, according to blockchain data platform Glassnode. “The scale and speed of these losses reflect a meaningful washout of marginal demand as recent buyers unwind into the drawdown,” Glassnode noted in an X post on Friday. Read more
Binance CEO Richard Teng argued that Bitcoin’s current slide reflects broader risk-off deleveraging, and its volatility is in line with most major asset classes. Richard Teng, the CEO of crypto exchange Binance, reportedly said Bitcoin’s volatility aligns with that seen in most major asset classes. According to a Friday Reuters report, Teng said during a media roundtable in Sydney that all asset classes go through different cycles and volatility. “What you’re seeing is not only happening to crypto prices,” he claimed. Teng also explained that Bitcoin’s recent drop was driven by investors deleveraging their positions and by risk aversion, which is in line with trends across most major asset classes. “At this point in time, there’s a bit of risk (off) and deleveraging happening,” he reportedly said. Read more
Bitcoiners viewed US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s appearance at the opening night of the Bitcoin-themed bar as “a sign” for Bitcoin. The Bitcoin community lit up on Thursday after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent made an unannounced appearance at the launch of Washington’s new Bitcoin-themed bar, Pubkey. “Having the Secretary of the Treasury at the Pubkey DC launch seems like a moment I could easily look back on and say ‘wow, it was all so obvious,” Bitcoin (BTC) treasury company Strive chief investment officer Ben Werkman said in an X post on Thursday. Steven Lubka, Nakamoto’s vice president of investor relations, called it “the sign you have been waiting for.” Read more
Metaplanet might be underwater, but it’s doubling down on Bitcoin — plus a new survey shows 6 in 10 Singaporeans hold crypto. Asia Express. Japans largest corporate Bitcoin holder, Metaplanet, plans to raise around $135 million to accumulate more BTC, even as the assets price continues to trade below $90,000. The company is choosing to raise capital through issuing preferred shares instead of common stock, which seems to be largely to protect the stock price from tanking any further. Metaplanets share price has already plummeted nearly 60% in the past six months, now standing at 387 JPY (approximately $2.46 USD), according to Google Finance. To avoid further volatility, the company will issue preferred shares with a 4.9% dividend instead of common shares, as per a statement published on Thursday. Read more
Metaplanet might be underwater, but it’s doubling down on Bitcoin — plus a new survey shows 6 in 10 Singaporeans hold crypto. Asia Express. Japans largest corporate Bitcoin holder, Metaplanet, plans to raise approximately $135 million to accumulate more BTC, despite the assets price currently trading below $90,000. The company is choosing to raise capital by issuing preferred shares instead of common stock, which appears to be aimed mainly at protecting the stock price from further decline. Metaplanets share price has already plummeted nearly 60% in the past six months, now standing at 387 yen (approximately $2.46), according to Google Finance. To mitigate further volatility, the company will issue preferred shares with a 4.9% dividend yield instead of common shares, as announced in a statement published on Thursday. Read more
Tax revenue denominated in Bitcoin would be funneled into the US strategic BTC reserve and would not trigger a taxable event for the payer. A US lawmaker introduced a bill in the House of Representatives on Thursday that would allow Americans to pay their federal taxes in Bitcoin, which would then be funneled into the US strategic Bitcoin reserve. Under the Bitcoin for America Act proposed by Representative Warren Davidson, a Republican from Ohio, BTC (BTC) transferred to the US government for tax payments would not be subject to capital gains taxes and not be recorded as a loss or gain for the taxpayer. In a press release, Davidson said: Read more
Bitcoin weakness persists as the BTC price drops to $86,000, alongside a US stock market sell-off and diminishing odds of a 50-basis-point Fed interest rate cut at the next FOMC. Key takeaways: A Q1 2025 fractal and oversold market conditions suggest BTC could consolidate before retesting the $98,000 to $100,000 zone. One analyst made a bold price prediction, suggesting that a rising wedge breakdown could open the door to a deeper correction, potentially reaching $30,000. Read more
Analysts say Bitcoin is nearly in its “max pain” zone as the cost basis of BlackRock’s IBIT and Strategy’s massive BTC treasury draws near. Key takeaways: A Bitwise analyst outlined the $84,000 to $73,000 region as the likely “max pain” capitulation range for Bitcoin. Cost-basis levels of BlackRock’s IBIT and Strategy’s BTC treasury could heavily influence liquidity flows. Read more
Bitcoin struggles to hold the $90,000 support, and while charts angle toward further price downside, traders have turned their attention to the short liquidity at $98,000 to $100,000. Key takeaway: Bitcoin charts forecast further downside, but traders remain hopeful that a short squeeze to $98,000 will reverse the bearish trend. Bitcoin (BTC) has been trending down alongside the broader crypto market since Nov. 3, dropping to a six-month low of $88,267 on Thursday. With key economic data expected on Thursday and Friday, markets could see volatile price swings toward key BTC price levels over the next few days. Read more