Bitcoin’s technical and onchain market structure was robust throughout 2025, but ever-shifting macroeconomic conditions eventually put a cap on BTC price. Will the trend shift in 2026? Bitcoin’s 2024–2025 price action highlighted a disconnect between improving high-timeframe onchain structure and restrictive macroeconomic conditions. While crypto-native liquidity and supply dynamics strengthened during Bitcoin’s (BTC) 2024 rally, external variables, like elevated real yields and Federal Reserve balance sheet contraction, imposed valuation limits as the cycle progressed. Key takeaways Bitcoin rallied to above $100,000 from $42,000 in 2024 alongside rising stablecoin inflows and sustained BTC exchange outflows. Read more
Cryptocurrency markets experienced a modest recovery this week, but spot Bitcoin ETFs extended a five-day losing streak amid thin year-end liquidity. Cryptocurrency markets had a small rebound following last week’s dip, as investor activity wound down during the holidays. Bitcoin (BTC) fell to a weekly low of $86,561 on Tuesday, before bouncing back above $88,600 on Friday, according to TradingView data. Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) demand remained weak, recording $175 million in outflows on Wednesday, which marked a fifth consecutive day of net outflows, according to Farside Investors. Read more
In an exclusive Cointelegraph interview, the crypto analyst pointed to macro headwinds, muted sentiment and cycle dynamics shaping Bitcoin’s path into 2026. As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to underperform gold and major equity indices, investors are increasingly questioning whether this cycle is unfolding differently than expected. In a new interview with analyst Benjamin Cowen, we dig into why Bitcoin is lagging traditional markets, and why the current setup may feel strikingly similar to 2019. Cowen points out that while stocks and gold are responding positively to expectations around future monetary easing, Bitcoin appears far more sensitive to actual liquidity conditions rather than optimism alone. That distinction, he explains, helps clarify why BTC has struggled to gain momentum even as broader markets push higher. According to Cowen, Bitcoin often requires a clearer macroeconomic catalyst before it can outperform, and that catalyst may not yet be in place. Read more
Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino warned that an AI sector correction could spill over into crypto markets in 2026, with some analysts projecting BTC to drop to as low as $65,000. Concerns are mounting that global equity markets may be drifting into another bubble, fueled by relentless optimism about AI. If that bubble cracks in 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market could be among the first to feel the fallout. Key takeaways: AI bubble risks could hit crypto first, as overstretched, debt-funded equity markets unwind. Read more
From McDonald’s to municipal taxes, Lugano is proving that Bitcoin adoption is not about predicting the future; it is about building the infrastructure to handle it today. Adoption is voluntary. Merchants participate because Bitcoin Lightning fees are typically under 1%, compared with the roughly 3% average charged by credit card networks. Residents can pay municipal bills, including taxes, parking fines and tuition, in BTC or USDT using standard QR-code invoices. The city balances the ecosystem by using BTC for payments, USDT for stability and LVGA as a local loyalty token. Read more
Bitcoin simmered below resistance but teased a bullish breakout as the Asia trading session accompanied new all-time highs for gold and silver. Bitcoin (BTC) aimed for $90,000 on Boxing Day as precious metals set yet another all-time high. Key points: Bitcoin seeks a retest of $90,000 as TradFi markets return after the Christmas break. Read more
Bitcoiners wanting to focus on short-term factors should be “fairly methodical and mathematical,” says Strategy CEO Phong Le. Bitcoin’s market fundamentals have stayed strong in 2025, despite the asset’s price and sentiment declining toward the end of the year, says Strategy CEO Phong Le. “The fundamentals of the market this year for Bitcoin couldn’t be better,” Le told the “Coin Stories” podcast on Tuesday, emphasizing that he doesn’t care too much about its short-term performance. Bitcoin (BTC) reached an all-time high of $125,100 on Oct. 5, but has since declined nearly 30%, trading at $87,687 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap. AMeanwhile, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which measures overall market sentiment, has shown “Extreme Fear” since Dec. 12. Read more
Post-halving stress is reshaping Bitcoin mining. As margins compress, miners turn to AI, HPC and consolidation to survive heading into 2026. The Bitcoin mining industry has faced a harsher operating environment since the 2024 halving, a core feature of Bitcoin’s monetary design that cuts block rewards roughly every four years to enforce long-term scarcity. While the halving strengthens Bitcoin’s economic hardness, it also places immediate pressure on miners by slashing revenue overnight. In 2025, this resulted in the “harshest margin environment of all time,” according to TheMinerMag, which cited collapsing revenue and surging debt as major obstacles. Even publicly listed Bitcoin (BTC) miners with sizable cash reserves and access to capital have struggled to remain profitable solely through mining. To make do, many have accelerated their push into alternative, data-intensive business lines to stabilize revenue and diversify away from pure hashprice exposure. Read more
Bitcoin options markets remain tilted toward bears despite US investors’ expectations of economic stimulus injections and semi-bullish outlook for 2026. Key takeaways: $30.3 billion in Bitcoin options will expire at year-end, with most call (buy) bets placed well above the $89,000 to $94,000 price range. Bearish strategies stay favored unless BTC breaks $94,000 as prices above $88,000 have erased over half of put (sell) option bets. Read more
Companies that pivot to Bitcoin treasuries face crackdown in Asia, China doubles down on crypto ban. Asia Express 2025 in review. With the end of the year in sight, Asia Express looks back at some of the most significant developments for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency in the region in 2025. The rise of Bitcoin treasury firms was a major development in Asia in 2024, after Japan-based Metaplanet adopted the blueprint popularized by Michael Saylor’s Strategy. In 2025, the model gained a formal label with the firms now known as digital asset treasury companies, or DATs. But for many DATs, the embrace of Bitcoin was really just a last-ditch attempt to revive moribund share prices. Several had little to do with crypto prior to their pivots, and DAT announcements often triggered short-lived stock rallies before prices normalized. Read more
Four years ago, El Salvador started its ambitious Bitcoin adoption strategy. But in 2025, that plan came to a head with the International Monetary Fund. El Salvador, the first country in the world to recognize Bitcoin as legal tender, was seen by many in the industry as a pioneer. In 2025, the small country’s Bitcoin ambitions met reality. The Central American country made waves in 2021 when the Legislative Assembly approved a bill that required all merchants, stores and places of business to accept Bitcoin (BTC) as a form of payment. Proponents believed it would set off a chain of Bitcoin adoption and be a boon for the country’s economy. Ambitious adoption plans, including the issuance of bonds to fund a “Bitcoin City,” met lukewarm adoption from Salvadorans. Adoption was further muddied by concerns from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Read more
Bitcoin’s selling pressure may be easing as momentum stabilizes, miners capitulate and liquidity conditions turn supportive. Bitcoin (BTC) may establish a local bottom after dropping by over 35% from its record high of around $126,200 established two months ago, based on a mix of technical and on-chain indicators. Key takeaways: Momentum, miner capitulation and liquidity indicators point to fading selling pressure. Read more
Bitcoin price predictions include an initial $100,000 target after completion of the Boxing Day options expiry, worth a record $23.7 billion. Bitcoin (BTC) frustrated traders on Christmas Eve as rangebound BTC price action contrasted with record highs in gold and silver. Key points: Bitcoin plays a “waiting game” as bidders stay focused on precious metals. Read more