The Bitwise Invest executive admits he “could be wrong” but doesn’t see 2025 as the end of the upside for Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s price could see significant upside in 2026, bucking the traditional four-year market cycle, according to Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan. The prediction comes as other analysts are divided on whether Bitcoin (BTC) will stray from its historical pattern or follow the traditional halving cycle and peak in the coming months. “I bet 2026 is an up year,” Hougan said in an X video on Friday. “I broadly think we’re in for a good few years,” Hougan added. Read more
A pro-crypto US government, near-insatiable institutional investor demand, and the chance for ETH staking ETFs made ETH a top performer last week. Key points: Bitwise analysts said new US crypto laws favor Ether, boosting its role in tokenization and stablecoins. Institutions pile into ETH, with staking ETFs expected to add $20 billion-30 billion yearly. Read more
The US SEC has extended its decision deadline on whether to allow in-kind redemptions for Bitwise’s spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs on NYSE Arca. The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) extended its deadline for ruling on in-kind redemptions for two separate crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to a Wednesday SEC filing, the regulator will take more time to decide whether to allow in-kind redemptions on NYSE Arca for Bitwise’s Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) spot ETFs. The time limit for the decision was extended, but the underlying limit remains “45 days, extendable to no more than 90.” “The Commission finds it appropriate to designate a longer period within which to take action on the proposed rule change so that it has sufficient time to consider the proposed rule change, and the issues raised therein,” the announcement read. Read more
Over 70 crypto exchange-traded funds are awaiting review from the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. Bitwise has amended its proposed Dogecoin and Aptos exchange-traded funds to include in-kind redemptions, according to filings on Thursday. The updates come as discussions around altcoin ETFs and redemption structures gain traction with US regulators. In-kind redemptions allow investors to exchange ETF shares directly for the underlying tokens. The mechanism is considered more tax-efficient and can appeal to all types of investors, from institutional to retail. In February, the SEC sought comments on a proposal to allow in-kind creations and redemptions for spot Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) ETFs. During a panel at the Bitcoin Policy Institute on Wednesday, US Securities and Exchange (SEC) Commissioner Hester Pierce said in-kind redemptions for crypto ETFs are on the horizon. Read more
Bitcoin does not just compete with gold as an alternative store of value, but all savings instruments, including government securities. Bitcoin's (BTC) total addressable market encompasses the $16 trillion gold market and the $30 trillion US Treasury market used as a store of value by individual bondholders and institutions, according to Hunter Horsley, the CEO of digital asset investment firm Bitwise. "The opportunity for Bitcoin isn't just gold; it is the $30 trillion-plus using Treasuries as a store of value," the CEO wrote on Friday. Horsley was responding to an earlier post from economist Mohamed El-Erian, in which the economist cautioned analysts that US Treasury flows are no longer a barometer for investor flight to safety. Read more
Trump’s tax cuts and soaring US debt fuel Bitcoin’s rise as a hedge against sovereign default risks, potentially pushing BTC price toward $200,000 or more by 2025. Key takeaways: Bitwise predicts Bitcoin could hit $200,000 by year-end, with a potential “fair value” of $230,000. Trump’s proposed tax cuts and rising US debt position Bitcoin as a hedge against sovereign default risks. Read more
Bitwise chief investment officer Matthew Hougan said that a Bitcoin supply shock is coming, driven by heightened demand from institutions. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, predicts Bitcoin (BTC) will reach $200,000 by the end of 2025 due to a supply shock from heightened institutional demand. In an interview with Cointelegraph at Consensus 2025 in Toronto, the executive said that Bitwise's Bitcoin price prediction model is driven exclusively by supply and demand metrics. Hougan laid out the specific figures driving the forecast: "I think eventually that will exhaust sellers at the $100,000 level where we have been stuck, and I think the next stopping point above that is $200,000," the executive said. Bitwise is one of the issuers of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US markets, with nearly $4 billion in assets under management through its Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) as of May 14. Read more
Bitcoin’s “base case” for the end of 2025 is $200,000 without further government adoption, Bitwise’s head of research told Cointelegraph. Bitcoin’s expanding institutional adoption may provide the “structural” inflows necessary to surpass gold’s market capitalization and push its price beyond $1 million by 2029, according to Bitwise’s head of European research, André Dragosch. “Our in-house prediction is $1 million by 2029. So that Bitcoin will match gold's market cap and total addressable market by 2029,” he told Cointelegraph during the Chain Reaction daily X spaces show on April 30. The Bitcoin cycle may also be prolonged when US wirehouses start gaining exposure to Bitcoin and ETFs. Read more