Bitcoin does not just compete with gold as an alternative store of value, but all savings instruments, including government securities. Bitcoin's (BTC) total addressable market encompasses the $16 trillion gold market and the $30 trillion US Treasury market used as a store of value by individual bondholders and institutions, according to Hunter Horsley, the CEO of digital asset investment firm Bitwise. "The opportunity for Bitcoin isn't just gold; it is the $30 trillion-plus using Treasuries as a store of value," the CEO wrote on Friday. Horsley was responding to an earlier post from economist Mohamed El-Erian, in which the economist cautioned analysts that US Treasury flows are no longer a barometer for investor flight to safety. Read more
Trump’s tax cuts and soaring US debt fuel Bitcoin’s rise as a hedge against sovereign default risks, potentially pushing BTC price toward $200,000 or more by 2025. Key takeaways: Bitwise predicts Bitcoin could hit $200,000 by year-end, with a potential “fair value” of $230,000. Trump’s proposed tax cuts and rising US debt position Bitcoin as a hedge against sovereign default risks. Read more
Bitwise chief investment officer Matthew Hougan said that a Bitcoin supply shock is coming, driven by heightened demand from institutions. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, predicts Bitcoin (BTC) will reach $200,000 by the end of 2025 due to a supply shock from heightened institutional demand. In an interview with Cointelegraph at Consensus 2025 in Toronto, the executive said that Bitwise's Bitcoin price prediction model is driven exclusively by supply and demand metrics. Hougan laid out the specific figures driving the forecast: "I think eventually that will exhaust sellers at the $100,000 level where we have been stuck, and I think the next stopping point above that is $200,000," the executive said. Bitwise is one of the issuers of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US markets, with nearly $4 billion in assets under management through its Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) as of May 14. Read more
Bitcoin’s “base case” for the end of 2025 is $200,000 without further government adoption, Bitwise’s head of research told Cointelegraph. Bitcoin’s expanding institutional adoption may provide the “structural” inflows necessary to surpass gold’s market capitalization and push its price beyond $1 million by 2029, according to Bitwise’s head of European research, André Dragosch. “Our in-house prediction is $1 million by 2029. So that Bitcoin will match gold's market cap and total addressable market by 2029,” he told Cointelegraph during the Chain Reaction daily X spaces show on April 30. The Bitcoin cycle may also be prolonged when US wirehouses start gaining exposure to Bitcoin and ETFs. Read more