At the beginning of November, the odds of a December rate cut were 67% among traders, but they have since cratered alongside investor sentiment. The odds of an interest rate cut at the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting have plunged to 33% as “extreme fear” grips the crypto market and the price of Bitcoin (BTC) dips below $89,000. Investors placed the odds of a December rate cut at about 67% during the first week of November, with the odds dropping below 50% on Thursday, according to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Traders on prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket forecast the odds of a December rate cut at about 70% and 67%, respectively. While higher than CME, traders in general appear more hesitant about rate cuts due to persistent fears about inflation, according to The Kobeissi Letter. Read more
Nearly 67% of investors forecast an interest rate cut of 25 basis points in December when polled during the first week of November. Only 45.9% of investors anticipate an interest rate cut at the next US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in December, amid declining market sentiment and a downturn in the cryptocurrency market. The odds of a 25 basis point (BPS) interest rate cut in December were nearly 67% on Nov. 7, according to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group. In September, several banking institutions forecast at least two interest rate cuts in 2025, with market analysts at investment banking company Goldman Sachs and banking giant Citigroup each projecting three 25 BPS cuts in 2025. Read more
Ether taps $4,000 for the first time in eight months in a further win for ETH bulls and the broader altseason, while Bitcoin dominance fades. Key points: Ether hits $4,000 for the first time since December 2024 in a key milestone for the year. ETH price optimism continues with Ether taking chunks away from Bitcoin’s crypto market cap dominance. Read more