Crypto

Second Bill This Week Targets Prediction Market Insider Trading The post Lawmakers Introduce Second Bill Targeting Prediction Market Insider Trading appeared first on Cryptonews.

Bitcoin's return to an all-time high depends on how deep the current selloff extends, as data shows each new price low adds months to BTC's recovery time. Bitcoin (BTC) has shed all its March gains, currently down 1.40% on the monthly chart and 24.6% for the first quarter of 2026. Bitcoin’s longer-term performance aligns with a deep drawdown cycle for BTC, which may extend until the end of 2026 and many analysts expect another 40% drop in price. This scenario pushes Bitcoin’s recovery into Q2 2027, as a deeper BTC price drop tends to take longer to recover from. Ecoinometrics data shows a clear link between the drawdown depth and recovery duration. Each additional 10% decline has historically added about 80 days to the time required to reclaim the prior highs. Read more

Recall that PI traded close to $0.30 just a few weeks ago. Now, it's down to under $0.18.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs see $296 million in weekly outflows after a month-long inflow streak, as macro uncertainty keeps capital sidelined. Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) snapped a four-week inflow streak, posting $296.18 million in net outflows for the week ending Friday. The reversal follows a sustained run of inflows totaling more than $2.2 billion across four consecutive weeks, including $787.31 million, $568.45 million and $767.33 million in early March, before slowing to $95.18 million in the prior week, according to SoSoValue data. The weekly outflow followed back-to-back daily withdrawals on Thursday and Friday totaling more than $396 million, including a $225.48 million outflow on Friday alone, their biggest day of redemptions since March 3, when they posted $348 million in outflows. Read more

The analysts at The Kobeissi Letter believe the next few days will be crucial for the outcome of the war.

XRP shows improving risk-adjusted returns alongside rising whale flows, but rising leverage use and repeat liquidations point to a fragile futures market. The Sharpe Ratio for XRP (XRP), a measure of return per unit of risk, turned slightly positive on March 26, after spending months near or below zero between October 2024 and February 2025. A 30-day average return of 0.00063 supports this positive shift, while the Sharpe ratio stands at 0.0267, which reflects that the “current returns still exceed risk”. Onchain data indicates that whales have steadily accumulated XRP over the past month, pointing to demand despite the weak price action.  Read more

The next XRP Ledger release will be dedicated entirely to bug fixes and improvements.

Crypto lawyer Jake Chervinsky said legislation covering crypto developer protections has been overshadowed by the intense focus on stablecoin yield in the CLARITY Act. US Senator Cynthia Lummis has dismissed claims that the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act fails to protect decentralized finance innovators from legal repercussions, rebutting that recent changes to the draft will make it the “strongest protection for DeFi and developers ever enacted.” Her comments on Friday came in direct response to crypto lawyer Jake Chervinsky, who argued that Title 3 of the current draft undermines the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act — another crypto bill focused on developer protections — by subjecting non-custodial software developers to know-your-customer obligations. “Don’t believe the FUD,” Lummis said, adding, “We have worked on a bipartisan basis for the last few weeks to make changes to Title 3 that make this bill the strongest protection for DeFi and developers ever enacted. We have to pass the Clarity Act to g...

Firelight believes the demand for DeFi security is at a critical inflection point, driven by the persistence of on-chain exploits.

Ripple’s Brad Garlinghouse noted that stablecoin trading volume soared to over $33 trillion in 2025, while Bloomberg predicted that stablecoin flows would hit $56.6 trillion by 2030. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said stablecoins will be the crypto sector’s “ChatGPT moment” for businesses in search of faster, more efficient payments, and that many companies are already discussing and strategizing how to implement stablecoins into their operations. “You have boards of directors and CEOs of companies, whether it’s Fortune 500 or Fortune 2000, they’re asking their treasurers, they’re asking their CFOs, hey, what are we doing with stablecoins,” Garlinghouse told FOX Business on Friday. “Giving the treasurer and the CFO that option is the unlock,” he said.  Read more

The average public miner spent $79,995 to produce one bitcoin last quarter. Bitcoin is trading at $70,000. The math doesn't work, so the industry is pivoting to AI, taking on $70 billion in contracts, and liquidating bitcoin treasuries to finance the shift.

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said Morgan Stanley’s 16,000 financial advisors, who manage $6.2 trillion in client assets, would have no problem recommending the product at such low fees. Investment bank Morgan Stanley is seeking to launch its spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund at a 0.14% fee, which would make it the cheapest in the US market and potentially force rivals to cut fees to stay competitive. The 0.14% fee, proposed in Morgan Stanley’s latest S-1 registration statement on Friday, would be one basis point below the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC), currently the cheapest in the US market, and 11 basis points below the BlackRock-issued iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT). “Big move here. They are not messing around,” Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart said, predicting that the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (MSBT) is “likely to launch in early April.” Read more

Despite certain early actions, Sacks'130-day stint has sparked scrutiny over actual policy impact.

The executive order is the latest in a wave of legal actions in the US seeking to curb government insider trading on prediction markets. California Governor Gavin Newsom signed an executive order on Friday, expanding rules to curb public servants and those close to them from benefiting from insider trading on prediction markets tied to political or economic events they can influence or are privy to. The order prohibits “gubernatorial appointees,” public officials appointed to office by the governor of the state, from using “confidential or non-public information” gleaned from performing their duties to profit from related prediction markets. Newsom’s executive order also extends the prohibition to include spouses, family members or former business partners of the appointed officials from using non-public information to profit. “Public service should not be a get-rich-quick scheme,” Newsom said. He added: Read more

Bitcoin price slumped on Friday as uncertainty over the US economy and war in Iran negatively impacted stock and crypto markets. Key takeaways: Bearish sentiment is rising as Bitcoin options professional traders lose confidence that the $66,000 level will hold for long. The exit of David Sacks as the Crypto and AI czar and a lack of a clear US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve plan added to investors’ doubts. Read more

Bitcoin has never finished a year positive after a start this bad Bitcoin seasonality is one of those market narratives that stays alive because the average is easy to screenshot. The problem is that the average often hides the only thing that matters: the state. A strong “Uptober” inside a healthy bull trend is not […] The post Bitcoin price has never ended a year higher after a start this bad — can 2026 break the pattern? appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Regulatory uncertainty shakes stablecoins as institutions push forward, prediction markets tighten rules and AI agents reshape micropayment economics. Stablecoins are once again at the center of the crypto business narrative — but for very different reasons. Circle’s sharp sell-off this week highlights how sensitive crypto equities remain to regulatory headlines, even when the underlying business fundamentals appear unchanged. At the same time, developments in Canada show institutions are moving in the opposite direction, quietly laying the groundwork for stablecoin integration into traditional finance. Elsewhere, prediction markets are facing growing pressure to clean up their act as regulators zero in on manipulation risks, while a new thesis from Forrester suggests the long-promised micropayments economy may depend less on infrastructure — and more on AI agents. Read more

The bank priced its proposed spot bitcoin fund at 14 basis points, making it the lowest fund on the market, if approved.

The P2P.me team opened positions on the Polymarket prediction platform to wager whether the project would hit its $6 million fundraising goal. The team behind the P2P.me decentralized trading platform disclosed that it opened positions on the Polymarket prediction market related to its recent capital raise. The team opened the positions 10 days before the raise went live, wagering whether the project would hit its $6 million fundraising target, according to a disclosure published on the X social media platform. At the time the positions were opened, P2P.me had only one “oral commitment” from venture firm Multicoin Capital for $3 million in funding, “no signed term sheets” and “no guaranteed allocations,” the team said.  Read more

Bitcoin and select major altcoins have turned down sharply, indicating that the bears are trying to take charge of the market. Key points: Bitcoin’s fall below the $66,000 support heightens the risk of a drop to the $62,500 level. Select major altcoins have broken below their immediate support levels, opening the gates for further downside. Read more