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The disruption to the oil market and critical energy effects may have long-term economic effects that investors are not pricing in. Traders are miscalculating the severity and the duration of economic fallout from the Middle East conflict and are pricing in a “TACO” trade, which stands for “Trump always chickens out,” according to market analyst and founder of the Coin Bureau, Nic Puckrin. The term was coined by Wall Street and refers to US President Donald Trump backing down in geopolitical conflicts. However, Puckrin warned that “Trump is not in sole control of the situation,” and there are no easy or quick exits from the war. If oil continues to trade above $100 per barrel, economic growth will slow, and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation will rise by up to 1 percentage point, Puckrin said. Read more
The legislative recommendations highlight six policy areas, including copyright, energy and workforce development, while signaling a lighter regulatory stance. The Trump administration has released a national AI legislative framework for the United States, calling on Congress to establish a unified federal framework and warning that a patchwork of state laws could hinder innovation and competitiveness. The framework is structured around six core policy areas: protecting children and empowering parents, strengthening communities, intellectual property and creator rights, free speech protections, accelerating AI innovation and workforce development. At the center of the proposal is a push for a unified federal approach, with the administration urging Congress to preempt state-level AI laws it says could burden developers. Read more
In the latest Cointelegraph interview, professional trader Alessio Rastani warns that Bitcoin could fall below $60,000 before a meaningful bottom forms. Professional trader Alessio Rastani is back with a fresh market update, and the key question remains: has Bitcoin (BTC) already found its bottom — or is the real move still ahead? In this latest interview, Rastani revisits his previous outlook and explains why his view has shifted as price action unfolded. While Bitcoin managed a short-term recovery earlier this year, he argues that the structure of the recent bounce is not yet convincing enough to signal a sustained uptrend. In fact, he warns that the probability still favors another move lower, potentially below the $60,000 level, before a more meaningful bottom forms. Read more
A 70% oil spike could nearly double US inflation, slash rate-cut hopes, and deepen downside risks for Bitcoin prices in the coming months. Bitcoin (BTC) has outperformed US equities and gold since the US and Israel’s attack on Iran on Feb. 28, underscoring its strength amid one of the year’s biggest geopolitical shocks. However, BTC’s rally may face a serious challenge if oil prices spike toward $180 per barrel, a scenario some Saudi Arabian officials now see as plausible if Middle East supply disruptions persist beyond April. Key takeaways: Read more
Bitcoin miner BitFuFu decreased its revenue from self-hosted mining operations by 60% in 2025 in a push to cloud mining. BitFuFu’s 2025 results showed a sharp shift in its business mix, with cloud mining overtaking self-mining as the company’s main revenue driver. The Singapore-based Bitcoin (BTC) miner reported $475.8 million in revenue for 2025, up 2.7% from a year earlier. Its self-mining output fell to 611 BTC from 2,537 BTC in 2024, a drop of 76%, while its Bitcoin holdings edged up to 1,778 BTC from 1,720 BTC a year earlier. Read more
The crypto industry has seen a number of regulatory changes over the past year, with the Canadian government taking a risk-management, rules-first approach. Cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology have increasingly become part of Canada’s core financial system over the past year. In November, the country introduced stablecoin regulations as part of the Canada Stablecoin Act. Introduced as part of the budget, it gives the Bank of Canada the power to regulate stablecoins in the country. Elsewhere, policymakers are finalizing amendments to laws for crypto asset funds, including those for cold wallets and custodians. Read more
Bitcoin’s RSI is nearing a key level, with analysts saying a higher low is needed to support a potential continuation in BTC price. Bitcoin (BTC) is signaling a potential long-term bottom as a key leading indicator prepares for a higher low. Key points: Bitcoin RSI is approaching a critical long-term position for the fate of the bear market. Read more
A Bitcoin wallet inactive since 2012 has moved $56 worth of BTC, spotlighting a stash now valued at roughly $147 million after more than 13 years dormant. A long-dormant Bitcoin whale wallet has reactivated after 13 years and seven months of inactivity, shifting 0.00079 BTC ($56), a tiny fraction of a fortune now worth around $147 million. Onchain data from BitInfoCharts shows that the legacy address “1NB3ZX…” received 2,100 Bitcoin (BTC) on July 5, 2012, when BTC traded at about $6.59 per coin. At today’s prices, that stash is valued at roughly $147 million, turning an initial outlay of about $13,800 into an unrealized gain of more than 10,000x. The move caught the eye of onchain trackers like Whale Alert and LookonChain that monitor so-called Satoshi-era addresses, a term often used for coins acquired in Bitcoin’s early years. Read more
Leading crypto and fintech companies are competing to capture growing revenue from stablecoin payments by launching their own settlement infrastructure. Stablecoin issuers and fintech-linked firms are launching payment-focused blockchains as they try to control more of the settlement infrastructure behind US digital-dollar transfers. Some stablecoin issuers and fintech-linked companies are building a new wave of blockchain networks designed for institutional payment flows rather than the broader token issuance and smart-contract activity associated with general-purpose layer-1 networks, according to Delphi Digital. These include stablecoin giant Tether-backed Plasma, a public L1 network optimized for cross-border USDt (USDT) transactions, which launched on mainnet on Sept. 25, 2025 after it raised $24 million in February. A month later, stablecoin issuer Circle launched the public testnet for Arc, which it describes as an open L1 blockchain purpose-built for stablecoin finance. Read more
The proposed spot Bitcoin ETF outlines seed capital, listing plans and trading partners in its latest filing as it moves closer to a potential market debut. Morgan Stanley filed a second amended S-1 for its proposed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), detailing seed capital, trading partners and listing plans as the Wall Street bank moves closer to launching the product under the ticker MSBT. The amended filing says the trust expects to raise $1 million through the sale of 50,000 initial seed shares to its delegated sponsor ahead of listing on NYSE Arca, then use the proceeds to buy Bitcoin (BTC) for the fund. Morgan Stanley said the fund remains subject to regulatory approval before it can begin trading. The filing lists Jane Street, Virtu Americas and Macquarie Capital as authorized participants, allowing them to create or redeem large blocks of shares and profit from the arbitrage between Bitcoin’s price and the ETF’s share price. This keeps the ETF’s price close to the value of Bitcoin. Read more
Coinbase has launched stock perpetual futures for non-US traders, expanding its push to offer round-the-clock access to multiple asset classes. Coinbase has launched stock perpetual futures for eligible non-US traders, expanding its push to offer round-the-clock access to crypto, equities and prediction markets on a single platform. In a Friday blog post, Coinbase said the product was not available to US persons at the current time, but that it was “working to expand this offering to additional regions in the future.” The contracts are available on Coinbase Advanced for retail users and Coinbase International Exchange for institutions, offering leveraged, cash-settled exposure to major US stocks and indices, including Apple (AAPL) and Nvidia (NVDA), in a format familiar to crypto traders. Read more
Stablecoins and custody lead adoption priorities, with firms focusing on how to build or source digital asset infrastructure. In a survey released on Thursday, Ripple said 72% of more than 1,000 global finance leaders believe companies must offer digital asset solutions to stay competitive. The survey found stablecoins were the most prominent use case, with 74% of respondents saying they can boost cash flow and unlock trapped capital. The report polled around 1,000 finance firms globally, including banks, asset managers, fintechs and corporates, on adoption, stablecoins, tokenization and custody priorities. Read more
South Korea’s tax agency is seeking a private custodian for seized crypto after a wallet seed phrase leak exposed government-held assets. South Korea’s National Tax Service (NTS) is moving to select a private custody provider for seized crypto assets after a February press release exposed a wallet recovery phrase and triggered the unauthorized transfer of confiscated tokens. On Feb. 26, the NTS accidentally exposed a crypto wallet seed phrase in an official press release, resulting in the unauthorized transfer of crypto tokens valued at about $4.8 million. The release included an image of a Ledger cold wallet and a sheet of paper showing the mnemonic phrase without being blurred. Citing people familiar with the matter, ZDNet Korea reported that the agency is reviewing a plan to outsource custody of confiscated crypto and is drafting selection criteria for providers. The NTS is reportedly aiming to select a provider within the first half of 2026. Read more
Technical indicators hint at a possible reversal in BTC’s relative performance, as traders watch whether key support levels can hold. Bitcoin (BTC) has endured a 14-month bear market against gold, with the BTC/gold ratio and momentum indicators at historic lows that previously marked cycle bottoms. Key takeaways: The BTC/GOLD ratio is at historic lows as multiple indicators hint at a cycle bottom. Read more
Galaxy Digital’s Will Owens says most crypto wallets aren’t exposed to quantum risks, with vulnerabilities limited to cases where public keys are revealed. The quantum risk to Bitcoin investors is real, but not all wallets are vulnerable, and the people best positioned to address it are working on it, says Galaxy Digital research analyst Will Owens. Owens said in a report on Thursday that, in theory, a quantum computer could derive private keys from public keys, allowing an attacker to impersonate the owner, forge a signature and steal coins. However, he argued that not all wallets are equally vulnerable to this risk. Read more
US authorities say they have charged and arrested Supermicro co-founder Yih-Shyan “Wally” Liaw for allegedly funnelling $2.5 billion in AI servers to China through shell companies. US authorities say the co-founder of Super Micro Computer, Inc. has been charged and arrested over an alleged multi-billion dollar scheme to smuggle advanced artificial intelligence chips from the US to China. The Justice Department said in a statement on Thursday that it had unsealed an indictment charging Yih-Shyan “Wally” Liaw, as well as Super Micro sales executives Ruei-Tsang “Steven” Chang, and Ting-Wei “Willy” Sun over the alleged conspiracy. Prosecutors said the trio violated US export control laws by conspiring “to sell billions of dollars’ worth of servers integrating sensitive, controlled graphics processing units to buyers in China.” Read more
Crypto exchange Gemini is facing a proposed class-action lawsuit over what a complaint alleges is an “abrupt corporate pivot to a prediction-market-centric business model” after its IPO. Gemini is facing a proposed class-action lawsuit in New York for allegedly misleading investors during and after the crypto exchange’s September initial public offering. The lawsuit was filed on Thursday in Manhattan federal court by shareholders against Gemini, its co-founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, and company executives. Plaintiff Marc Methvin alleges that the company’s IPO documents portrayed Gemini as a growing crypto exchange focused on expanding its user base and international footprint, but that it made an “abrupt corporate pivot to a prediction-market-centric business model.” Read more
US gaming lawyer Daniel Wallach says a Nevada state court-issued restraining order against Kalshi appears imminent, preventing it from offering sports-related contracts. A federal appeals court has cleared Nevada state authorities to enforce a temporary restraining order against Kalshi, blocking its sports-event contracts. The Ninth Circuit Appeals Court on Thursday denied Kalshi’s emergency request to stay a lower court proceeding, meaning the case returns to federal court and allows Nevada regulators to take action. Gaming lawyer Daniel Wallach said a temporary restraining order (TRO) against Kalshi now appears imminent, and added that it wouldn’t be able to operate in Nevada for at least 14 days until a preliminary injunction hearing is held: Read more
The World Gold Council says it will develop a platform to connect physical gold to the systems used to issue and manage tokenized gold products. The major gold trade association, World Gold Council, and the Boston Consulting Group have proposed a new platform to modernize how the precious metal operates in digital financial systems. The World Gold Council said on Thursday that it published a white paper on “Gold as a Service,” a new platform to “support the issuance and operation of scalable, interoperable digital gold products.” The open platform would connect the physical custody of gold with the digital systems used to issue and manage tokenized gold products. Read more10222 items