Bitcoin price sold off as negotiations to end the US-Iran war broke down and the Strait of Hormuz returned to the spotlight. Bitcoin (BTC) fell 3% to trade below $71,000 into Sunday’s weekly close after negotiations to end the US-Iran war broke down. Key points: Bitcoin shed its gains as negotiations between the US and Iran broke down. Read more
Lookonchain noted that the “yes” bets were placed at probabilities between 2.9% and 10.3%, with the three wallets placing their first bets within 26 hours of the announcement. Three newly created wallets profited a combined $484,575 on Polymarket betting that the US and Iran would agree to a ceasefire by Tuesday, in the latest event to raise suspicion of insider trading. The wallets were created and funded on Tuesday and had no prior onchain activity before betting on Polymarket’s “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7” market, blockchain data shared by Lookonchain revealed on Wednesday. Polymarket data shows the profits secured by the three wallets were $200,525, $158,600 and $125,450 at the time of writing. Read more
The newly created Polymarket wallets placed bets on the timing of a US strike against Iran, buying shares hours before the first explosions were reported in Tehran. Six Polymarket traders earned roughly $1 million after accurately betting that the United States would strike Iran before the end of February, triggering insider trading suspicions. The six wallets were all created in February and placed nearly all of their activity on contracts predicting the timing of a potential US attack, Bloomberg reported, citing data shared by analytics firm Bubblemaps SA. In several cases, shares were purchased only hours before explosions were first reported in Tehran, with some contracts acquired for around $0.10, per the report. Read more